Signal approach for determining the level and assessing financial security

Authors

Natalia Ivanova, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade; Olena Nieizviestna, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade; Lyubov Shevchenko, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade; Volodymyr Kotkovskyi, National University "Odesa Law Academy"; Yevhenii Tryhubchenko, Mykhailo Tuhan-Baranovskyi Donetsk National University of Economics and Trade
DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-59-6.ch5

Keywords:

security, security paradigm, national security, public administration in the field of security, threats, risks, national identity, language identity, financial security of the state, economic security of the state, economic security of the enterprise, global financial security of sustainable development, security indicators, integral indicator of security, innovative development, innovative ecosystem, global tourism, hotel and restaurant business, security strategy, intelligent system, technogenic security, food security

Abstract

Dedicated to the study of the possibility of using the signal approach to determine the level and assess financial security. It is noted that early warning systems based on qualitative analysis, econometric modeling and non-parametric models based on the approach are called upon to identify threats, identify accumulated and possible imbalances, in order to further level the effect of factors that can undermine the financial security of the country. To predict the emergence of threats to the financial condition of Ukraine, a regression model of the growth rate of the Consolidated Budget of Ukraine (as an indicator of the public finances of Ukraine) was developed and proposed, which reflects the dependence of the probability of a decrease in this indicator on a number of security indicators, and its approbation was carried out for the conditions of Ukraine. The selected set of indicators for identifying threats to the financial security of Ukraine provided the basis for building and forming a base of scenarios for the possible behavior of the economy under the influence of external factors for 2022-2023. The authors have identified corrective measures of economic policy on the part of macroeconomic regulation bodies in order to stop the inertial development of the forecast situation.


CHALLENGES AND PARADIGM OF NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL SECURITY OF THE XXI CENTURY: ECONOMIC AND TECHNOGENIC DISCOURSE

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Pages

82-105

Published

October 15, 2022

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Copyright (c) 2022 Oksana Chernega, Mariia Kolchuk, Yuliia Bocharova, Oleksandr Ishchenko, Svitlana Ostapenko, Svitlana Revutska, Hannah Udovichenko, Liliia Dmytruk, Natalia Ivanova, Nataliia Pryimak, Tetiana Kozhukhova, Olena Nieizviestna, Kateryna Khavrova, Lyubov Shevchenko, Yuliia Lyzhnyk, Volodymyr Kotkovskyi, Yevhenii Tryhubchenko, Ganna Gorina, Galina Bohatyryova, Olha Nikolaichuk, Oleksandr Romanykha, Valentyn Khorolskyi, Radion Nykyforov, Yurii Korenets, Olga Simakova, Iuliia Goriainova

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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

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ISBN-13 (15)

978-617-7319-59-6

How to Cite

Ivanova, N., Nieizviestna, O., Shevchenko, L., Kotkovskyi, V., & Tryhubchenko, Y. (2022). Signal approach for determining the level and assessing financial security. In O. Chernega & Y. Bocharova (Eds.), CHALLENGES AND PARADIGM OF NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL SECURITY OF THE XXI CENTURY: ECONOMIC AND TECHNOGENIC DISCOURSE (pp. 82–105). Kharkiv: TECHNOLOGY CENTER PC. https://doi.org/10.15587/978-617-7319-59-6.ch5